Friday, January 19, 2018

Oscar Nomination Predictions

I don't pay as much attention to the Oscars as I used (so basically, just more than 96% of people instead of 99% of people), and doing that has allowed me to enjoy the season more than I did a decade ago. So, no, I haven't thought through my predictions as much as many have - but it's how I see things shaking down next Tuesday.

I will be back with winners predictions before the show. Onto the Predictions:

Best Picture
  1. Lady Bird
  2. Dunkirk
  3. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
  4. Get Out
  5. The Shape of Water
  6. Call Me By Your Name
  7. The Post
  8. The Florida Project
Possible Alternates: Darkest Hour, Phantom Thread, The Big Sick
 
Director
  1. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
  2. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
  3. Jordan Peele, Get Out
  4. Guilerrmo Del Toro, The Shape of Water
  5. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Possible Alternates: Steven Spielberg, The Post, Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name, Sean Baker, The Florida Project, Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
 

Best Actor


  1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
  2. Timothee Chamlet, Call Me By Your Name
  3. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
  4. Daniel Kaaluya, Get Out
  5. James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Possible Alternates: Tom Hanks, The Post, Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger
 
Best Actress
  1. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
  2. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  3. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  4. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  5. Meryl Streep, The Post
Possible Alternates: Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game, Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
 
Best Supporting Actor
  1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
  2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  3. Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
  4. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
  5. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Possible Alternates: Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name, Steve Carrell, Battle of the Sexes

 
Best Supporting Actress
  1. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
  2. Allison Janney, I, Tonya
  3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
  4. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
  5. Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Possible Alternates: Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread, Hong Chau, Downsizing
 
Best Original Screenplay
  1. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri – Martin McDonagh
  2. Get Out – Jordan Peele
  3. Lady Bird – Greta Gerwig
  4. The Big Sick – Kumail Nanjiani & Emily V. Gordon
  5. The Shape of Water – Guillermo Del Toro
Possible Alternates: The Post – Liz Hannah, I, Tonya – Steven Rogers, Phantom Thread – Paul Thomas Anderson
 
Best Adapted Screenplay
  1. Call Me By Your Name – James Ivory
  2. Mudbound – Dee Rees & Virgil Williams
  3. Molly’s Game – Aaron Sorkin
  4. The Disaster Artist – Scott Neustadter & Michael Weber
  5. Victoria & Abdul – Lee Hall
Possible Alternates: Wonderstruck – Brian Selznick, The Beguiled – Sofia Coppola, Wonder – Steve Conrad & Jack Thorne
 
Best Documentary

1.       Jane

2.       Faces Places

3.       Human Flow

4.       City of Ghosts

5.       Icarus

Possible Alternates: Abacus: Small Enough to Fail, Chasing Coral, An Inconvient Sequel: Truth to Power, Last Men in Aleepo, Strong Island
 

Best Animated Film

  1. Coco
  2. Loving Vincent
  3. The Breadwinner
  4. The Lego Batman Movie
  5. The Boss Baby
Possible Alternates: Despicable Me 3, The Big Bad Fox and Other Tales, In This Corner of the World
 
Best Foreign Language Film
  1. The Square
  2. Foxtrot
  3. Loveless
  4. The Insult
  5. In the Fade
Possible Alternates: On Body and Soul, The Wound, Felicitie, A Fantastic Woman
 
Best Cinematography
  1. Dunkirk – Hoyte Van Hoytema
  2. Blade Runner 2049 – Roger Deakins
  3. The Shape of Water – Dan Lausten
  4. Mudbound – Rachel Morrison
  5. Darkest Hour – Bruno Delbonnel
Possible Alternates: The Post – Janusz Kaminski, Call Me By Your Name – Sayombhu Mukedeeprom
 

Editing

  1. Dunkirk – Lee Smith
  2. The Shape of Water – Sidney Wolinsky
  3. Get Out – Gregory Plotkin
  4. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri – Jon Gregory
  5. The Post – Michael Kahn
Possible Alternates: Call Me By Your Name – Walter Fasano, Baby Driver – Jonathan Amos & Paul Machliss, Lady Bird – Nick Houy

 

Score

  1. The Shape of Water – Alexandre Desplat
  2. Dunkirk – Hans Zimmer
  3. Darkest Hour – Dario Marianelli
  4. Phantom Thread – Jonny Greenwood
  5. The Post – John Williams
Possible Alternates: Wonderstruck – Carter Burwell, Star Wars: The Last Jedi – John Williams, Victoria & Abdul – Thomas Newman, Blade Runner 2049 – Benjamin Wallfisch & Hans Zimmer, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri – Carter Burwell

 

Song

  1. Coco - Remember Me
  2. Call Me By Your Name – The Mystery of Love
  3. The Greatest Showman – This is Me
  4. Mudbound – Might River
  5. The Star – The Star
Possible Alternates: Cries from Syria – Prayers for This World, Beauty and the Beast – Evermore, Marshall – Stand Up for Something, Fifty Shades Darker – I Don’t Wanna Live Forever, Call Me By Your Name – Visions of Gideon
 

Production Design

  1. The Shape of Water – Paul Austerberry
  2. Blade Runner 2049 – Dennis Gassner
  3. Beauty and the Beast – Sarah Greenwood
  4. Dunkirk – Nathan Crowley
  5. The Post – Rick Carter
Possible Alternates: Darkest Hour – Sarah Greenwood, Wonderstruck – Mark Friedberg, Phantom Thread – Mark Tidesley & Veronique Melery
 

Costume Design

  1. Phantom Thread – Mark Bridges
  2. Beauty and the Beast – Jacqueline Durran
  3. Victoria & Abdul – Consolata Boyle
  4. The Beguiled – Stacey Battat
  5. The Shape of Water – Luis Sequeira
Possible Alternates: Wonderstruck – Sandy Powell, Darkest Hour – Jacqueline Durran, The Post – Ann Roth, Mudbound – Michael T. Boyd
 

Make-Up & Hair Styling

  1. Darkest Hour
  2. Guardians of the Galaxy Volume II
  3. Wonder
Possible Alternates: I, Tonya, Bright, Ghost in the Shell, Victoria & Abdul

 

Sound Mixing

  1. Dunkirk
  2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  3. Blade Runner 2049
  4. The Shape of Water
  5. Baby Driver
Possible Alternates: Wonder Woman, The Greatest Showman, Wonderstruck, Get Out
 

Sound Editing

  1. Dunkirk
  2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  3. Blade Runner 2049
  4. The Shape of Water
  5. Baby Driver
Possible Alternates: Darkest Hour, Detroit, Wonder Women, Spider-Man: Homecoming.
 
Visual Effects
  1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  2. Blade Runner 2049
  3. War for the Planet of the Apes
  4. Dunkirk
  5. The Shape of Water
Possible Alternates: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets, Okja, Kong: Skull Island, Alien: Covenant
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