Oscar Nomination Predictions

I'm going to be honest with you - I've paid far less attention this year to the Oscar race than normal, and kind of threw these predictions together at the last minute - when I realize that the nominations were coming out next Tuesday, and that I'll be in New York all weekend, and wouldn't have time to write a full post on it. (and no, when my wife and I booked the tripin New York - in June, around when we could get Hamilton tickets, we did not realize it would be Inauguration Weekend - hopefully, we make it out). Anyway, below are my picks in each of the categories (aside from the shorts) - I'm probably off, but this seems like the most likely scenario to me. I'll be back on Tuesday to give my more detailed thoughts on the nominees.

Best Picture

1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. Manchester by the Sea
4. Hell or High Water
5. Arrival
6. Hidden Figures
7. Lion
8. Fences
9. Hacksaw Ridge
10. Nocturnal Animals

11^th Man: Silence

 

Best Director

1. Damien Chazelle, La La Land
2. Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
3. Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
4. Denis Villenueve, Arrival
5. Garth Davis, Lion

6^th White: David Mackenzie, Hell or High Water

 

Best Actor

1. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
2. Denzel Washington, Fences
3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land
4. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
5. Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

6^th Man: Joel Edgerton, Loving

 

Best Actress

1. Emma Stone, La La Land
2. Amy Adams, Arrival
3. Natalie Portman, Jackie
4. Annette Bening, 20^th Century Women
5. Isabelle Huppert, Elle

6^th Man: Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

 

Best Supporting Actor

1. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
2. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
3. Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals
4. Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
5. Dev Patel, Lion

6^th Man: Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins

 

Best Suppporting Actress

1. Viola Davis, Fences
2. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
3. Naomie Harris, Moonlight
4. Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
5. Nicole Kidman, Lion

6^th Man: Greta Gerwig, 20^th Century Women

 

div style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"> Best Original Screenplay

1. Manchester by the Sea
2. La La Land
3. Hell or High Water
4. The Lobster
5. 20^th Century Women

6^th Man: Toni Erdmann

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Moonlight
2. Arrival
3. Hidden Figures
4. Lion
5. Fences

6^th Man: Nocturnal Animals

 

Best Animated Film

1. Zootopia
2. Moana
3. Kubo and the Two Strings
4. Finding Dory
5. The Red Turtle

6^th Man: Miss Hokusai

 

Best Documentary

1. 13^th
2. OJ: Made in America
3. Weiner
4. I Am Not Your Negro
5. Fire at Sea

6^th Man: Cameraperson/Gleason/Life Animated/Tower

 

Best Foreign Language Film

1. Toni Erdmann
2. A Man Called Ove
3. The Salesman
4. Land of Mine
5. It’s Only the End of the World

6^th Man: Tanna

 

Best Cinematography

1. La La Land
2. Silence
3. Moonlight
4. Arrival
5. Jackie

6^th Man: Lion

 

Best Editing

1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. Hacksaw Ridge
4. Arrival
5. Manchester by the Sea

6^th Man: Sully

 

Best Score

1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. The BFG
4. Jackie
5. Hidden Figures

6^th Man: Kubo and the Two Strings

 

Best Song

1. La La Land – City of Stars
2. Moana - How Far I’ll Go
3. La La Land – Audition
4. Hidden Figures – Runnin’
5. Moana – We Know the Way

6^th Man: Trolls – Can’t Stop the Feeling

 

Best Costume Design

1. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
2. La La Land
3. Jackie
4. Allied
5. Florence Foster Jenkins

6^th Man: Hail, Caesar!

 

Best Production Design

1. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
2. Hail Caesar!
3. La La Land
4. Jackie
5. Arrival

6^th Man: Silence

 

Best Sound Mixing

1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
2. La La Land
3. Hacksaw Ridge
4. Arrival
5. Sully

6^th Man: Doctor Strange

 

Best Sound Editing

1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
2. Hacksaw Ridge
3. The Jungle Book
4. Deepwater Horizon
5. Arrival

6^th Man: Sully

 

Best Makeup/Hairstyling

1. Star Trek Beyiond
2. Deadpool
3. Florence Foster Jenkins

4^th Man: A Man Called Over

 

Best Visual Effects

1. The Jungle Book
2. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
3. Doctor Strange
4. Arrival
5. Deepwater Horizon

6^th Man: Kubo and the Two Strings