Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Oscar Nomination Predictions

I'm going to be honest with you - I've paid far less attention this year to the Oscar race than normal, and kind of threw these predictions together at the last minute - when I realize that the nominations were coming out next Tuesday, and that I'll be in New York all weekend, and wouldn't have time to write a full post on it. (and no, when my wife and I booked the tripin New York - in June, around when we could get Hamilton tickets, we did not realize it would be Inauguration Weekend - hopefully, we make it out). Anyway, below are my picks in each of the categories (aside from the shorts) - I'm probably off, but this seems like the most likely scenario to me. I'll be back on Tuesday to give my more detailed thoughts on the nominees.

Best Picture
  1. La La Land
  2. Moonlight
  3. Manchester by the Sea
  4. Hell or High Water
  5. Arrival
  6. Hidden Figures
  7. Lion
  8. Fences
  9. Hacksaw Ridge
  10. Nocturnal Animals
11th Man: Silence
 
Best Director
  1. Damien Chazelle, La La Land
  2. Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
  3. Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
  4. Denis Villenueve, Arrival
  5. Garth Davis, Lion
6th White: David Mackenzie, Hell or High Water
 
Best Actor
  1. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
  2. Denzel Washington, Fences
  3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  4. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
  5. Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
6th Man: Joel Edgerton, Loving
 
Best Actress
  1. Emma Stone, La La Land
  2. Amy Adams, Arrival
  3. Natalie Portman, Jackie
  4. Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
  5. Isabelle Huppert, Elle
6th Man: Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
 
Best Supporting Actor
  1. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
  2. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  3. Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals
  4. Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
  5. Dev Patel, Lion
6th Man: Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
 
Best Suppporting Actress
  1. Viola Davis, Fences
  2. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
  3. Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  4. Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
  5. Nicole Kidman, Lion
6th Man: Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women
 
div style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"> Best Original Screenplay
  1. Manchester by the Sea
  2. La La Land
  3. Hell or High Water
  4. The Lobster
  5. 20th Century Women
6th Man: Toni Erdmann
 
Best Adapted Screenplay
  1. Moonlight
  2. Arrival
  3. Hidden Figures
  4. Lion
  5. Fences
6th Man: Nocturnal Animals
 
Best Animated Film
  1. Zootopia
  2. Moana
  3. Kubo and the Two Strings
  4. Finding Dory
  5. The Red Turtle
6th Man: Miss Hokusai
 
Best Documentary
  1. 13th
  2. OJ: Made in America
  3. Weiner
  4. I Am Not Your Negro
  5. Fire at Sea
6th Man: Cameraperson/Gleason/Life Animated/Tower
 
Best Foreign Language Film
  1. Toni Erdmann
  2. A Man Called Ove
  3. The Salesman
  4. Land of Mine
  5. It’s Only the End of the World
6th Man: Tanna
 
Best Cinematography
  1. La La Land
  2. Silence
  3. Moonlight
  4. Arrival
  5. Jackie
6th Man: Lion
 
Best Editing
  1. La La Land
  2. Moonlight
  3. Hacksaw Ridge
  4. Arrival
  5. Manchester by the Sea
6th Man: Sully
 
Best Score
  1. La La Land
  2. Moonlight
  3. The BFG
  4. Jackie
  5. Hidden Figures
6th Man: Kubo and the Two Strings
 
Best Song
  1. La La Land – City of Stars
  2. Moana - How Far I’ll Go
  3. La La Land – Audition
  4. Hidden Figures – Runnin’
  5. Moana – We Know the Way
6th Man: Trolls – Can’t Stop the Feeling
 
Best Costume Design
  1. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  2. La La Land
  3. Jackie
  4. Allied
  5. Florence Foster Jenkins
6th Man: Hail, Caesar!
 
Best Production Design
  1. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  2. Hail Caesar!
  3. La La Land
  4. Jackie
  5. Arrival
6th Man: Silence
 
Best Sound Mixing
  1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
  2. La La Land
  3. Hacksaw Ridge
  4. Arrival
  5. Sully
6th Man: Doctor Strange
 
Best Sound Editing
  1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
  2. Hacksaw Ridge
  3. The Jungle Book
  4. Deepwater Horizon
  5. Arrival
6th Man: Sully
 
Best Makeup/Hairstyling
  1. Star Trek Beyiond
  2. Deadpool
  3. Florence Foster Jenkins
4th Man: A Man Called Over
 
Best Visual Effects
  1. The Jungle Book
  2. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
  3. Doctor Strange
  4. Arrival
  5. Deepwater Horizon
6th Man: Kubo and the Two Strings

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